Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1.576583 1.821590 2.086716 2.394254 2.740464 3.117434 3.558223
2024-10-20 1.139515 1.463546 1.846312 2.328761 2.917279 3.608316 4.477285
2024-10-27 0.891725 1.258326 1.725985 2.358921 3.184718 4.216236 5.591440
2024-11-03 0.716407 1.100851 1.626151 2.382830 3.428768 4.805237 6.731555
2024-11-10 0.581059 0.966183 1.526551 2.380257 3.622068 5.332156 7.827084
2024-11-17 0.469880 0.842247 1.417055 2.339351 3.744754 5.760644 8.812460
2024-11-24 0.381816 0.735532 1.313060 2.285708 3.832661 6.135407 9.739402
2024-12-01 0.324833 0.668563 1.259132 2.297841 4.013581 6.651719 10.901298
2024-12-08 0.273759 0.601463 1.193238 2.278520 4.136995 7.083287 11.958793
2024-12-15 0.243262 0.566683 1.177120 2.338450 4.390336 7.729829 13.384415
2024-12-22 0.210844 0.521486 1.134670 2.344900 4.550560 8.234278 14.613246
2024-12-29 0.194679 0.507048 1.147719 2.452143 4.892105 9.055657 16.400486
2025-01-05 0.175283 0.483017 1.140888 2.525686 5.188487 9.836363 18.196422
2025-01-12 0.149496 0.438952 1.086991 2.502090 5.306405 10.322855 19.536569
2025-01-19 0.133506 0.415171 1.072401 2.555008 5.571875 11.085131 21.396416
2025-01-26 0.118342 0.390022 1.050774 2.590178 5.805150 11.804315 23.223421
2025-02-02 0.103144 0.361075 1.015700 2.591732 5.970737 12.409240 24.881325
2025-02-09 0.087748 0.327531 0.964003 2.549608 6.042469 12.842074 26.251051
2025-02-16 0.073994 0.295037 0.909162 2.492645 6.076372 13.202541 27.505003
2025-02-23 0.065302 0.276140 0.885931 2.506115 6.259570 13.860564 29.347158
2025-03-02 0.056465 0.254148 0.850560 2.485454 6.365472 14.371181 30.934859
2025-03-09 0.051746 0.245310 0.849953 2.550162 6.664786 15.283446 33.336277
2025-03-16 0.045728 0.229846 0.827760 2.557152 6.833323 15.939284 35.270594